The Resource Asian economic trends and their security implications, Charles Wolf, Jr. [and others]

Asian economic trends and their security implications, Charles Wolf, Jr. [and others]

Label
Asian economic trends and their security implications
Title
Asian economic trends and their security implications
Statement of responsibility
Charles Wolf, Jr. [and others]
Contributor
Subject
Language
eng
Summary
As the final product of a project dealing with the security implications of Asia's financial and economic turmoil, this report considers the sharp economic reversals suffered in the Asian region in 1997 and 1998 and the marked but widely varying evidence of significant recovery among the different countries of the region. The report then turns to the medium- and longer-term trends with respect to economic growth, military spending, and military investment in five countries in the greater Asian area: namely, Japan, China, India, South Korea, and Indonesia. The five countries were selected by agreement with the sponsors from a larger set addressed in RAND's previous analyses in 1989 and 1995 of long-term economic and military trends. India, a South Asian country, was included along with the four principal East Asian countries in light of its size and enhanced military prominence. Following the analysis of these longer-term economic and military trends, the report considers the security implications of these trends with respect to alternative security environments in the region, changes in the intraregional balance of military and economic power, and such other issues as prospects for multilateral security cooperation, support for forward-based U.S. forces in the region, and alliance burden sharing. While acknowledging the major uncertainties inherent in these as well as other forecasts, the authors use the gross domestic products (GDPs) and accumulated stocks of military capital as rough proxies for the respective economic and political power of each of the five countries, thereby drawing several inferences from the estimates including the following: Japan's relative economic and military power will diminish appreciably in the region over the 2000-2015 period. China's economic and military power will diminish somewhat relative to those of India. However, the absolute gap between China's GDP and military capital, and those of the other three countries will grow substantially
Cataloging source
DLC
Illustrations
illustrations
Index
no index present
LC call number
HC412
LC item number
.A754 2000
Literary form
non fiction
Nature of contents
dictionaries
http://library.link/vocab/relatedWorkOrContributorDate
1924-2016
http://library.link/vocab/relatedWorkOrContributorName
Wolf, Charles
http://library.link/vocab/subjectName
  • Asia
  • Asia
  • Asia
  • Asien
  • Economic forecasting
  • National security
  • POLITICAL SCIENCE
  • Economic forecasting
  • Economic history
  • Military policy
  • National security
  • Wirtschaftsentwicklung
Label
Asian economic trends and their security implications, Charles Wolf, Jr. [and others]
Instantiates
Publication
Note
  • "Prepared for the office of the Secretary of Defense/United States Army"
  • National defense Research Institute/Arroyo Center
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references
Carrier category
volume
Carrier category code
nc
Carrier MARC source
rdacarrier
Content category
text
Content type code
txt
Content type MARC source
rdacontent
Contents
1. Updating and improving previous estimates in light of changed conditions -- 2. Asia's economic turmoil and the varied record of recovery: The "crisis" countries: Korea, Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia ; Japan ; China ; Taiwan, Singapore, Hong Kong -- 3. Principal forecast results: Methods and data ; Gross domestic product ; Per-capita GDP ; Military spending ; Military capital -- 4. Estimates for the five countries, 2000-2015: A comment on the estimating model ; Japan ; China ; India ; Korea ; Indonesia ; Sensitivity tests ; Decomposition of investment -- 5. Linking the separate forecasts: regional indexing and future security environments: Regional indexing ; Future security environments -- 6. Epilogue: some additional questions and implications: Bellicosity or amity in the Asian region? ; Prospects for multilateral security cooperation ; Burden sharing ; Effects on attitudes toward forward-based U.S. forces
Dimensions
23 cm
Extent
xviii, 91 pages
Isbn
9780833028617
Lccn
00055267
Media category
unmediated
Media MARC source
rdamedia
Media type code
n
Other physical details
illustrations
Specific material designation
remote
System control number
  • (OCoLC)44509216
  • (OCoLC)ocm44509216
Label
Asian economic trends and their security implications, Charles Wolf, Jr. [and others]
Publication
Note
  • "Prepared for the office of the Secretary of Defense/United States Army"
  • National defense Research Institute/Arroyo Center
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references
Carrier category
volume
Carrier category code
nc
Carrier MARC source
rdacarrier
Content category
text
Content type code
txt
Content type MARC source
rdacontent
Contents
1. Updating and improving previous estimates in light of changed conditions -- 2. Asia's economic turmoil and the varied record of recovery: The "crisis" countries: Korea, Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia ; Japan ; China ; Taiwan, Singapore, Hong Kong -- 3. Principal forecast results: Methods and data ; Gross domestic product ; Per-capita GDP ; Military spending ; Military capital -- 4. Estimates for the five countries, 2000-2015: A comment on the estimating model ; Japan ; China ; India ; Korea ; Indonesia ; Sensitivity tests ; Decomposition of investment -- 5. Linking the separate forecasts: regional indexing and future security environments: Regional indexing ; Future security environments -- 6. Epilogue: some additional questions and implications: Bellicosity or amity in the Asian region? ; Prospects for multilateral security cooperation ; Burden sharing ; Effects on attitudes toward forward-based U.S. forces
Dimensions
23 cm
Extent
xviii, 91 pages
Isbn
9780833028617
Lccn
00055267
Media category
unmediated
Media MARC source
rdamedia
Media type code
n
Other physical details
illustrations
Specific material designation
remote
System control number
  • (OCoLC)44509216
  • (OCoLC)ocm44509216

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