The Resource Climate change, mortality and adaptation : evidence from annual fluctuations in weather in the U.S., Olivier Deschnes [and] Michael Greenstone., (electronic resource)

Climate change, mortality and adaptation : evidence from annual fluctuations in weather in the U.S., Olivier Deschnes [and] Michael Greenstone., (electronic resource)

Label
Climate change, mortality and adaptation : evidence from annual fluctuations in weather in the U.S.
Title
Climate change, mortality and adaptation
Title remainder
evidence from annual fluctuations in weather in the U.S.
Statement of responsibility
Olivier Deschnes [and] Michael Greenstone.
Creator
Contributor
Provider
Subject
Language
eng
Summary
  • This paper produces the first large-scale estimates of the US health related welfare costs due to climate change. Using the presumably random year-to-year variation in temperature and two state of the art climate models, the analysis suggests that under a 'business as usual' scenario climate change will lead to an increase in the overall US annual mortality rate ranging from 0.5% to 1.7% by the end of the 21st century. These overall estimates are statistically indistinguishable from zero, although there is evidence of statistically significant increases in mortality rates for some subpopulations, particularly infants. As the canonical Becker-Grossman health production function model highlights, the full welfare impact will be reflected in health outcomes and increased consumption of goods that preserve individuals' health. Individuals' likely first compensatory response is increased use of air conditioning; the analysis indicates that climate change would increase US annual residential energy consumption by a statistically significant 15% to 30% ($15 to $35 billion in 2006 dollars) at the end of the century. It seems reasonable to assume that the mortality impacts would be larger without the increased energy consumption
  • (cont.) Further, the estimated mortality and energy impacts likely overstate the long-run impacts on these outcomes, since individuals can engage in a wider set of adaptations in the longer run to mitigate costs. Overall, the analysis suggests that the health related welfare costs of higher temperatures due to climate change are likely to be quite modest in the US. Keywords: health costs of climate change; mortality due to hot and cold temperatures; adaptation to climate change; impact of climate change on energy demand; forward displacement of fatalities; health production functions
Member of
Additional physical form
Abstract in HTML and working paper for download in PDF available via World Wide Web at the Social Science Research Network.
Cataloging source
MYG
http://library.link/vocab/creatorName
Deschnes, Olivier
Illustrations
illustrations
Index
no index present
Literary form
non fiction
Nature of contents
  • dictionaries
  • bibliography
  • technical reports
http://library.link/vocab/relatedWorkOrContributorDate
1968-
http://library.link/vocab/relatedWorkOrContributorName
  • Greenstone, Michael
  • Massachusetts Institute of Technology
  • Internet Archive
Series statement
Working paper series / Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics
Series volume
working paper 07-19
http://library.link/vocab/subjectName
  • Climatic changes
  • Mortality
  • Mortality
Label
Climate change, mortality and adaptation : evidence from annual fluctuations in weather in the U.S., Olivier Deschnes [and] Michael Greenstone., (electronic resource)
Instantiates
Publication
Note
"June 21, 2007."
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (p. 40-42)
Color
mixed
Dimensions
28 cm.
Dimensions
unknown
Extent
42, [15] p.
Other physical details
ill.
Specific material designation
remote
System control number
  • (OCoLC)166885890
  • (CaSfIA)climatechangemor00desc2
  • (CaSfIA)001471254
Label
Climate change, mortality and adaptation : evidence from annual fluctuations in weather in the U.S., Olivier Deschnes [and] Michael Greenstone., (electronic resource)
Publication
Note
"June 21, 2007."
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (p. 40-42)
Color
mixed
Dimensions
28 cm.
Dimensions
unknown
Extent
42, [15] p.
Other physical details
ill.
Specific material designation
remote
System control number
  • (OCoLC)166885890
  • (CaSfIA)climatechangemor00desc2
  • (CaSfIA)001471254

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